Policing ‘Academy’: Oscar picks 2010: UPDATED with WINNERS

I am not above eating crow, so here is the updated list of winners, with my predictions directly underneath the selected categories.

Now in her 82nd year, she’s undergoing yet another facelift. As Hollywood  prepares for its big night of self love, it’s decided to make some alterations in hopes of bolstering its attractiveness to audiences. It certainly does not hurt that the most popular film of all time is in the running for nine trophies. This year, not one but two hosts will be hosting the festivities: Alec Baldwin will ride his rejuvenated comedic career alongside Steve Martin who will try to be funnier than he has been in his last 10 films released. And speaking of 10 films, that is another adjustment made, as the category of “Best Feature” has been expanded to widen the field.

Also, on Sunday, March 7, there is a good chance that history may be made, as there is a very good chance that a female director may (deservedly) walk home with one of the evening’s top honors.

 Below is a list of the top contenders, followed by, as usual, a guess for who should and who will stride up to the podium.

Best actor in a leading role
* Jeff Bridges in “Crazy Heart”: winner
* George Clooney in “Up in the Air”
* Colin Firth in “A Single Man”
* Morgan Freeman in “Invictus”
* Jeremy Renner in “The Hurt Locker”

Will win: Jeff Bridges. It’s more a “Crap! We’re really sorry we didn’t get this to you sooner” award than for this film, but it’s good to see the academy abiding by the dude.

Who should: Renner’s tripwire performance really kicks in halfway through, when you realize just how good he’s been.

Best actor in a supporting role
* Matt Damon in “Invictus”
* Woody Harrelson in “The Messenger”
* Christopher Plummer in “The Last Station”
* Stanley Tucci in “The Lovely Bones”
* Christoph Waltz in “Inglourious Basterds :winner

Who will and should: Christoph Waltz. Is it wrong to be thoroughly behind the Nazi? One of the evening’s surest of bets.

Best actress in a leading role
* Sandra Bullock in “The Blind Side”: winner
* Helen Mirren in “The Last Station”
* Carey Mulligan in “An Education”
* Gabourey Sidibe in “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
* Meryl Streep in “Julie & Julia”

Who will win: Streep has already broken her own nomination record, and she’s the only reason the film is watchable. But if there’s a big upset, look for Bullock to do it here.

Who should win: Carey Mulligan played the awkward teen bit in to a “T” in the otherwise wafer-thin “Education”

Best actress in a supporting role
* Penélope Cruz in “Nine”
* Vera Farmiga in “Up in the Air”
* Maggie Gyllenhaal in “Crazy Heart”
* Anna Kendrick in “Up in the Air”
* Mo’Nique in “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire : winner

Who will and should win: Mo’Nique for the Os’quer. Her closing lines from a impassioned, severely shattered woman almost make her less of a monster. Almost.

Best animated feature film
*“Fantastic Mr. Fox”
*“The Princess and the Frog”
*“The Secret of Kells”
*“Up”: winner

Who will win: Another year, another pixar masterpiece.

Who should win: Unlike other years, other nominees are equally stellar. In a Pixar-less race, “Coraline” deserves it.

Best adapted screenplay
*“District 9″ Written by Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell
*“An Education” Screenplay by Nick Hornby
*“In the Loop” Screenplay by Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche
*“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” (Lionsgate) Screenplay by Geoffrey Fletcher: winner!
*“Up in the Air” Screenplay by Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner

Who will: This may be the only shot for “Up in the Air”

Who should win: “In the Loop,” as there was not a more densely packed — and consistently funny–  screenplay all year.

Best original screenplay
*“The Hurt Locker”  Written by Mark Boal: winner
*“Inglourious Basterds” Written by Quentin Tarantino
*“The Messenger” Written by Alessandro Camon & Oren Moverman
*“A Serious Man” Written by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
*“Up”  Screenplay by Bob Peterson, Pete Docter; Story by Pete Docter, Bob Peterson, Tom McCarthy

Who will and should: Who will and should: Mr. Tarantino, your Oscar is ready…

Best director
*“The Hurt Locker” : winner
*“Inglourious Basterds”
*“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
*“Up in the Air”

Who will win: In tonight’s title bout, we have the former Ms. James Cameron, Kathryn Bigelow, against the King of the World himself, who will get TKO’d here.

Who should win: Though I usually say the best director and best film should be synonymous, I would be completely content with a Bigelow victory.

Best motion picture
*“The Blind Side”
*“District 9″
*“An Education”
*“The Hurt Lockerwinner
*“Inglourious Basterds”
*“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
*“A Serious Man”
*“Up in the Air”

Who will and should: Avatar. I am a big proponent for this honor being bestowed not just for the content, but for it’s ability to advance the medium, to take it in new directions and to be truly innovative. It just happens that it was the most popular film on the planet. But if the game-changer that was Avatar does not deserve it, I am not sure what does.

Here are some of other categories in which I have seen all the nominees and will venture a sage-like (read: completely random) prediction:
Best in art direction
*“Avatar” : winner
*“The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus”
*“Sherlock Holmes”
*“The Young Victoria”


Best in cinematography
*“Avatar”: winner
*“Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince”
*“The Hurt Locker”
*“Inglourious Basterds”
*“The White Ribbon”

Repeat after me: “Avatar”

Best in costume design
*“Bright Star”
*“Coco before Chanel”
*“The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus”
*“The Young Victoria”:winner

Winner: “Bright Star” was uncomfortably slow, but it sure was pretty. And where was “A Single Man” in this category?

Best documentary feature film
*“Burma VJ”
*“The Cove”: winner
*“Food, Inc.”
*“The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers”
*“Which Way Home”

Who will win: “Food Inc” has had mainstream appeal, and its PG rating has certainly made it all the more accessible.

Who should win: “The Cove” is the best film you may never want to see again in your lifetime.

Best in film editing
*“District 9″
*“The Hurt Locker” : winner
*“Inglourious Basterds”
*“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”

Winner: “Avatar”

Best foreign language film
*“El Secreto de Sus Ojos”: winner
*“The Milk of Sorrow”
*“Un Prophète”
*“The White Ribbon”

Winner: “The White Ribbon” has thus far earned eight awards, making it the hottest contender in this field.

Best original score
*“Fantastic Mr. Fox”
*“The Hurt Locker”
*“Sherlock Holmes”
*“Up” : winner

Winner: Here’s hoping that the spirited cheer that was the “Up soundtrack can beat out the tribal-chant-and-bombast that was blaring through “Avatar’s” speakers,

Best original song
*“Almost There” from “The Princess and the Frog”
*“Down in New Orleans” from “The Princess and the Frog”
*“Loin de Paname” from “Paris 36″
*“Take It All” from “Nine”
*“The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart)” from “Crazy Heart”: winner

Winner: “The Weary Kind.” Bridges aside, this was the best part of the movie. But still, no love for the “Where the Wild Things Are” soundtrack?

Best animated short film
*“French Roast”
*“Granny O’Grimm’s Sleeping Beauty”
*“The Lady and the Reaper (La Dama y la Muerte)”
*“Logorama”: winner
*“A Matter of Loaf and Death”

Winner: the predictable-but- fun “French Roast” But “A Matter of Loaf and Death” should, as any chance to spend more time with Wallace and Gromit is cause for celebration.

Best in sound editing
*“The Hurt Locker”: winner
*“Inglourious Basterds”
*“Star Trek”


Best in sound mixing
*“The Hurt Lockerwinner
*“Inglourious Basterds”
*“Star Trek”
*“Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen”


Best in visual effects
*“Avatar”: winner
*“District 9″
*“Star Trek”

Winner: Are there really any other contenders here? “Avatar”

~ by usesoapfilm on March 4, 2010.

One Response to “Policing ‘Academy’: Oscar picks 2010: UPDATED with WINNERS”

  1. I must preface this by saying you already know my feeling on award shows. But the fact that “Revenge of the Fallen” is nominated for ANYTHING at the Academy Awards is offensive to good movies everywhere. As much as I enjoy dumb movies like that, but it still shouldn’t be up for an Oscar. And the day Shia LeBouf gets nominated for one is the day I stop watching feature films.

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